Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000088 0.000093 0.000097 0.000103 0.000108 0.000115 0.000122
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000084 0.000091 0.000098 0.000107 0.000117 0.000129
2025-02-02 0.000074 0.000081 0.000089 0.000099 0.000111 0.000124 0.000142
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000080 0.000089 0.000101 0.000115 0.000133 0.000156
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000078 0.000089 0.000102 0.000119 0.000141 0.000171
2025-02-23 0.000069 0.000079 0.000091 0.000107 0.000128 0.000155 0.000195
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000155 0.000199
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000072 0.000085 0.000101 0.000123 0.000153 0.000201
2025-03-16 0.000061 0.000071 0.000083 0.000101 0.000124 0.000158 0.000211
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000071 0.000084 0.000102 0.000129 0.000166 0.000229
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000069 0.000082 0.000101 0.000128 0.000168 0.000236
2025-04-06 0.000055 0.000066 0.000079 0.000097 0.000124 0.000163 0.000233
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000094 0.000122 0.000163 0.000236
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000060 0.000072 0.000091 0.000117 0.000159 0.000234
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000120 0.000165 0.000251
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000093 0.000124 0.000174 0.000276
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000094 0.000128 0.000184 0.000304
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000098 0.000136 0.000204 0.000357
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000096 0.000134 0.000202 0.000361
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000056 0.000070 0.000093 0.000130 0.000198 0.000358
2025-06-08 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000093 0.000131 0.000202 0.000379
2025-06-15 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000094 0.000136 0.000214 0.000422
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000093 0.000135 0.000215 0.000434